Relocating far away because of AI
Flagged as theatre
The paper people cite to justify moving to New Zealand analyses seven global risks and AI is not among them. Its verbatim conclusion is that there is no place on Earth resilient to all of them, and that even Australia depends on international trade continuing.
- Level
- Personal
- Cost
- High cost
- Effort
- Ongoing
- Evidence
- Speculative
What it does not solve
Nothing that motivates the move. The regional resilience literature is written for abrupt sunlight reduction, geomagnetic storms and pandemics, not for AI, and its own recommendations are public policy —reserves, hardened grid, international agreements— not a personal destination. It also costs enormously and dismantles the local network that does have evidence.
It works if the scenario is an abrupt reduction in sunlight and you have moved to the southern hemisphere, or if it is a pandemic and insularity buys you time. None of that is what people have in mind when they say they are moving because of AI.
It does not work if you cite the paper everyone cites. The first systematic review of which places on the planet are most resilient to global catastrophic risks analyses seven risks —nuclear war, asteroids, eruptions, large-scale cyberattacks, electromagnetic pulse, geomagnetic storms and pandemics— and AI is not among them. Its conclusion, in so many words, is that there is no place on Earth resilient to all of them, and although Australia comes out as the best positioned across the widest range of scenarios, even for Australia international cooperation and trade remain essential [580]No Place to Hide? Regional Resilience and Vulnerability to Global Catastrophic RiskView source ↗verified through Crossref.
Evidence. Low for what is being asked of it. 80,000 Hours’ own civilisational resilience profile warns that there is very little research on these interventions and that all of it could be wrong [5]Civilisation resilienceView source ↗.
Cost. The highest on the list, in money and in everything else: work, family, language, local network.
What it does NOT solve. None of the mechanisms that motivate the move. The decisions that stop going through you follow you to any country. And there is a documented irony: moving dismantles the neighbour network that does predict who recovers from a disaster, which is the only thing with hard evidence in this whole block.
Works if…
- Catastrophe through misuse · Partial
The only branch where geography does anything is the pandemic one, through isolation and insularity. It is not the reason people give when they move because of AI, and it does not come from the paper they usually cite.
Does not work if…
- Gradual disempowerment · Does not work
Decisions that stop passing through you follow you to any country.
- Power grab by a small group · Does not work
- The intelligence curse · Does not work
- AI as normal technology · Does not work
Risks it addresses
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Sources
- [580] No Place to Hide? Regional Resilience and Vulnerability to Global Catastrophic Risk · Jehn, Florian Ulrich 2026 verified through Crossref
- [5] Civilisation resilience · 80,000 Hours 2026